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  • Phil Akre

Predictions for the 2024 Oscars

My final picks for this year's Academy Awards.



The Oscars are just days away. Below you'll find winner predictions and personal picks for each category. Let's dive in!


I didn't offer picks for the following categories (didn't get around to all of the nominated projects within each): Best Documentary Feature, Best Documentary Short, Best Live-Action Short, and Best Animated Short.


Best Picture

Predicted winner: Oppenheimer

My pick: Oppenheimer


American Fiction

Anatomy of a Fall

Barbie

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Past Lives

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest

The Holdovers


Best Director

Predicted winner: Christopher Nolan

My pick: Christopher Nolan


Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall

Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest


Best Actor

Predicted winner: Paul Giamatti

My pick: Paul Giamatti


Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

Bradley Cooper, Maestro

Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Colman Domingo, Rustin

Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers


Best Actress

Predicted winner: Lily Gladstone

My pick: Lily Gladstone (Emma Stone is a very close second)


Annette Bening, Nyad

Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall

Carey Mulligan, Maestro

Emma Stone, Poor Things


Best Supporting Actor

Predicted winner: Robert Downey Jr. 

My pick: Sterling K. Brown (RDJ is the clear-cut favorite, but Brown and Mark Ruffalo deserve serious consideration)


Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction

Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon

Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Ryan Gosling, Barbie

Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things


Best Supporting Actress

Predicted winner: Da’Vine Joy Randolph

My pick: Da’Vine Joy Randolph (Emily Blunt's work in Oppenheimer makes her a close second)


Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple

America Ferrera, Barbie

Jodie Foster, Nyad

Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers


Best Original Screenplay

Predicted winner: The Holdovers

My pick: The Holdovers


Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, Anatomy of a Fall

Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer, Maestro

Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik, May December,

Celine Song, Past Lives

David Hemingson, The Holdovers


Best Adapted Screenplay

Predicted winner: Barbie

My pick: American Fiction


Cord Jefferson, American Fiction

Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach, Barbie

Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Tony McNamara, Poor Things

Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest


Best Animated Feature

Predicted winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

My pick: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse


Elemental

Nimona

Robot Dreams

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

The Boy and the Heron


Best International Feature

Predicted winner: The Zone of Interest

My pick: The Zone of Interest


Io Capitano (Italy)

Perfect Days (Japan)

Society of the Snow (Spain)

The Teachers' Lounge (Germany)

The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom)


Best Original Score 

Predicted winner: Oppenheimer

My pick: Poor Things


Laura Karpman, American Fiction

John Williams, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Robbie Robertson, Killers of the Flower Moon

Ludwig Göransson, Oppenheimer

Jerskin Fendrix, Poor Things


Best Original Song

Predicted winner: I'm Just Ken

My pick: Wahzhaze


"The Fire Inside" from Flamin' Hot, music and lyrics by Diane Warren

"I'm Just Ken" from Barbie, music and lyrics by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt

"It Never Went Away" from American Symphony, music and lyrics by Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson

"Wahzhaze" (A Song for My People) from Killers of the Flower Moon, music and lyrics by Scott George

"What Was I Made For?" from Barbie, music and lyrics by Billie Eilish and Finneas O'Connell


Best Sound

Predicted winner: Oppenheimer

My pick: The Zone of Interest


The Creator

Maestro

Mission: Impossible — Dead Reckoning Part One

Oppenheimer

The Zone of Interest


Best Production Design

Predicted winner: Barbie

My pick: Poor Things


Barbie

Killers of the Flower Moon

Napoleon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things


Best Cinematography  

Predicted winner: Oppenheimer

My pick: Oppenheimer


El Conde

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Poor Things


Best Makeup and Hairstyling 

Predicted winner: Maestro

My pick: Society of the Snow


Golda

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Society of the Snow


Best Costume Design

Predicted winner: Barbie

My pick: Poor Things


Jacqueline Durran, Barbie

Jacqueline West, Killers of the Flower Moon

Janty Yates and Dave Crossman, Napoleon

Ellen Mirojnick, Oppenheimer

Holly Waddington, Poor Things


Best Film Editing

Predicted winner: Oppenheimer

My pick: Killers of the Flower Moon


Anatomy of a Fall

Killers of the Flower Moon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

The Holdovers


Best Visual Effects

Predicted winner: The Creator (I hope I'm wrong and Godzilla Minus One wins)

My pick: Godzilla Minus One


The Creator

Godzilla Minus One

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Mission: Impossible — Dead Reckoning Part One

Napoleon


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Best Documentary Feature

My pick: N/A

Second Choice: N/A


Bobi Wine: The People's President

The Eternal Memory

Four Daughters

To Kill a Tiger

20 Days in Mariupol


Best Documentary Short

My pick: N/A

Second Choice: N/A


The ABCs of Book Banning

The Barber of Little Rock

Island in Between

The Last Repair Shop

Nai Nai & Wai Po


Best Live-Action Short

My pick: N/A

Second Choice: N/A


The After

Invincible

Knight of Fortune

Red, White, and Blue

The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar


Best Animated Short

My pick: N/A

Second Choice: N/A


Letter to a Pig

Ninety-Five Senses

Our Uniform

Pachyderme

WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko

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